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Three recent publications [1-3] have documented longitudinal changes in the circulating concentrations of follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), estradiol, anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH), also called Mullerian inhibiting substance (MIS), and inhibin B over approximately 10 years before the final menstrual period (FMP), with additional data for FSH and estradiol in the 10 following years. The hormone measurements were taken from samples collected on days 2-7 of the follicular phase from women enrolled in the longitudinal Michigan Bone Health and Metabolism Study (or from specimens collected within 15 days of the anniversary of enrolment for those who became amenorrheic); the earliest specimens dated from 1992.

For the study of FSH, AMH and inhibin B [1], 300 specimens were used from 50 women with six consecutive annual visits. The women were required to have an initial FSH < 14 mIU/ml, at least nine cycles per year, and subsequent documentation of 12 months amenorrhea. The mean age at initiation was 42 years, with a mean body mass index of 26.5; 18% of the women were smokers. The mean age at FMP was 50.5 years. Initial mean values were: AMH 0.626 ng/ml, inhibin B 69.8 pg/ml, FSH 7.6 mIU/ml, and estradiol 58.9 pg/ml. Log AMH declined linearly from -10 to -5 years from FMP, following which a single line around the assay detection level (0.05 ng/ml) gave the best fit of the data. Inhibin B levels declined to < 10 pg/ml (detection limit) 5 years before FMP, at which time the FSH concentrations had doubled to 15 mIU/ml. The authors concluded that the decline in concentration of AMH, in particular, to undetectable levels 5 years before FMP may represent a critical juncture in the menopausal transition. The baseline log AMH value was statistically associated with age at FMP. The authors suggested that, ‘AMH may act as an endocrine marker of follicle depletion, may reflect minimal ovarian reserve, and may signal the onset of the late stage of the menopause transition’.

Using data for 629 participants in the same study, the authors identified four major changes in rates of increase of FSH concentration [2], at -10 to -7 years, -7 to -2 years, a major rate increase from -2 to +1 years and a plateau 1 year later, with respect to FMP. For estradiol [3], levels were relatively stable from -10 to -2 years, with a decline of 67% between -2 and +2 years, and a further fall between 6 and 8 years post-FMP, noted particularly in non-obese women. The authors stated, ‘The report identifies four FSH stages and the FSH levels and ages that clinicians can use, along with menstrual cycle characteristics, to help interpret the likely status of women with respect to reproductive viability and menopause stage’.


  • Henry Burger
    Emeritus Director, Prince Henrys Institute of Medical Research, Clayton, Victoria, Australia


  1. Sowers MR, Eyvazzadeh AD, McConnell D, et al. Anti-Mullerian hormone and inhibin B in the definition of ovarian aging and the menopause transition. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2008;93:3478-83. Published September 2008.
  2. Sowers MR, Zheng H, McConnell D, et al. Follicle stimulating hormone and its rate of change in defining menopause transition stages. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2008;93:3958-64. Published October 2008.
  3. Sowers MR, Zheng H, McConnell D, et al. Estradiol rates of change in relation to the final menstrual period in a population-based cohort of women. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2008;93:3847-52. Published October 2008.
  4. Burger HG, Hale GE, Dennerstein L, Robertson DM. Cycle and hormone changes during perimenopause: the key role of ovarian function. Menopause 2008;15:603-12. Published July-August 2008.
  5. teVelde ER, Pearson PL. The variability of female reproductive ageing. Hum Reprod Update 2002;8:141-54. Published March-April 2002.
  6. Robertson DM, Hale GE, Fraser IS, et al. A proposed classification system for menstrual cycles in the menopause transition based on changes in serum hormone profiles. Menopause 2008;15:1139-44. Published November-December 2008.
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